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(B) Macro policies and news expectations(C) plate rotation and capital flow analysis

Second, the analysis of the reasons for high opening and low walkingFrom the technical analysis point of view, today's Shanghai Composite Index has formed a K-line shape with a long shadow line, and the trading volume has been enlarged, which indicates that there is greater pressure on the top and the market divergence has intensified. If tomorrow's index fails to effectively recover today's upper shadow line, and the trading volume continues to maintain at a relatively high level, the index may seek further support. In the short term, some important moving average positions below, such as 60-day moving average and 120-day moving average, will become key support areas. If the index can stabilize near these moving averages, and with the shrinking volume, the market is expected to enter the short-term shock consolidation stage, waiting for a new direction choice. On the other hand, if the index falls below these support levels quickly, it may trigger a new round of decline, dropping to near the previous low.

On the whole, on December 10th, 2024, the three indexes of A shares opened higher and went lower, which reflected the complexity and uncertainty of the current market. Tomorrow's A-share market will depend on the comprehensive effects of technical aspects, macro policies and news, plate rotation and capital flow. Investors should pay close attention to the changes of the above factors and make investment decisions prudently to cope with market fluctuations and changes.Tomorrow's A-share market will also be significantly affected by macro policies and news. From a policy perspective, the recent fine-tuning trend of monetary policy and fiscal policy has attracted much attention. If the central bank releases further loose signals in the open market operation or monetary policy report, such as the expected increase in RRR cut and interest rate cut, it is expected to inject liquidity into the market, enhance market confidence, and thus promote the rebound of the index. In terms of fiscal policy, if specific policies and measures such as increasing investment in infrastructure construction and supporting the development of emerging industries are introduced, the relevant beneficiary sectors will hopefully drive the market sentiment to rebound.(C) financial and emotional factors